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Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees Recap

MLB · June 21, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — New York Yankees LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked New York Yankees at 36% against FanDuel's implied 36% — an edge of +10.8pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +11.5pp  ·  closed at 2.81 (35.6%)

Top Pick Dog play
New York Yankees
+176 on FanDuel
Model 36%
Market 36%
Edge +10.8 pts

Model gives 47.1% vs FanDuel's implied 36.2%. No team-rating data — verify before sizing up.

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
36.0%

Model performance on New York Yankees picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
33
W - L
8 - 21
Win rate
28%
Avg CLV
+5.9pt
ROI
-36.8%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.