Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers Recap

MLB · June 19, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Chicago White Sox WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Chicago White Sox at 53% against FanDuel's implied 56% — an edge of +4.3pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +5.9pp · closed at 1.85 (54.0%)

Small Play

Chicago White Sox

Model 53%

Market 56%

Edge +4.3 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

53.2% —

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