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San Francisco Giants @ Atlanta Braves Recap

MLB · June 16, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Atlanta Braves LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Atlanta Braves at 45% against FanDuel's implied 47% — an edge of +4.2pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +6.7pp  ·  closed at 2.26 (44.2%)

Small Play Dog play
Atlanta Braves
+114 on FanDuel
Model 45%
Market 47%
Edge +4.2 pts

Solid 4.2% edge at FanDuel (2.14).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
45.4%

Model performance on Atlanta Braves picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
63
W - L
26 - 33
Win rate
44%
Avg CLV
+5.0pt
ROI
-27.7%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.