Los Angeles Angels @ Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

MLB · June 15, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Arizona Diamondbacks LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Arizona Diamondbacks at 38% against FanDuel's implied 40% — an edge of +5.0pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +4.2pp · closed at 2.47 (40.5%)

Small Play Dog play

Arizona Diamondbacks

Model 38%

Market 40%

Edge +5.0 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

38.5% —

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