Texas Rangers @ Boston Red Sox Recap
MLB · June 14, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Boston Red Sox LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Boston Red Sox at 54% against FanDuel's implied 56% — an edge of +6.0pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +26.0pp · closed at 2.76 (36.2%)
Boston Red Sox
-128 on FanDuel
Model
54%
Market
56%
Edge
+6.0 pts
Solid 6.1% edge at FanDuel (1.78).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
54.0%
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