Chicago Cubs @ San Francisco Giants Recap
MLB · June 13, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — San Francisco Giants LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked San Francisco Giants at 50% against FanDuel's implied 52% — an edge of +10.2pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +0.1pp · closed at 1.62 (61.7%)
San Francisco Giants
Model
50%
Market
52%
Edge
+10.2 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
50.1%
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