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Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Recap

MLB · June 11, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Pittsburgh Pirates LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Pittsburgh Pirates at 52% against FanDuel's implied 52% — an edge of +8.9pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +11.5pp  ·  closed at 2.01 (49.8%)

Top Pick
Pittsburgh Pirates
-110 on FanDuel
Model 52%
Market 52%
Edge +8.9 pts

Model gives 61.2% vs FanDuel's implied 52.4%. No team-rating data — verify before sizing up.

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
51.7%

Model performance on Pittsburgh Pirates picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
22
W - L
14 - 8
Win rate
64%
Avg CLV
+4.3pt
ROI
+23.1%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.