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Chicago Cubs @ Colorado Rockies Recap

MLB · June 11, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Colorado Rockies LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Colorado Rockies at 52% against FanDuel's implied 53% — an edge of +2.5pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +2.8pp  ·  closed at 1.89 (52.9%)

Small Play
Colorado Rockies
-114 on FanDuel
Model 52%
Market 53%
Edge +2.5 pts

Solid 2.5% edge at FanDuel (1.88).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
51.5%

Model performance on Colorado Rockies picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
43
W - L
21 - 22
Win rate
49%
Avg CLV
+5.1pt
ROI
+17.5%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.