Texas Rangers @ Kansas City Royals Recap

MLB · June 10, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Kansas City Royals LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Kansas City Royals at 65% against FanDuel's implied 62% — an edge of +3.2pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +4.3pp · closed at 1.65 (60.6%)

Small Play

Kansas City Royals

Model 65%

Market 62%

Edge +3.2 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

64.9% —

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