Texas Rangers @ Kansas City Royals Recap

MLB · June 09, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Kansas City Royals WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Kansas City Royals at 64% against FanDuel's implied 60% — an edge of +4.0pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +5.8pp · closed at 1.71 (58.5%)

Small Play

Kansas City Royals

Model 64%

Market 60%

Edge +4.0 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

64.3% —

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