Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres Recap
MLB · June 08, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — San Diego Padres WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked San Diego Padres at 43% against FanDuel's implied 39% — an edge of +4.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +4.9pp · closed at 2.63 (38.0%)
San Diego Padres
Model
43%
Market
39%
Edge
+4.1 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
42.9%
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