Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres Recap
MLB · June 08, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — San Diego Padres WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked San Diego Padres at 43% against FanDuel's implied 39% — an edge of +4.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +4.9pp · closed at 2.63 (38.0%)
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Model performance on San Diego Padres picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
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