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Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays Recap

MLB · June 09, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Tampa Bay Rays WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Tampa Bay Rays at 49% against FanDuel's implied 35% — an edge of +13.3pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Top Pick Dog play
Tampa Bay Rays
+182 on FanDuel
Model 49%
Market 35%
Edge +13.3 pts

Model gives 48.8% vs FanDuel's implied 35.5%. No team-rating data — verify before sizing up.

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
48.8%

Model performance on Tampa Bay Rays picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
56
W - L
24 - 32
Win rate
43%
Avg CLV
+4.1pt
ROI
-11.3%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.