Washington Nationals @ Arizona Diamondbacks Recap
MLB · June 07, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Arizona Diamondbacks WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Arizona Diamondbacks at 40% against FanDuel's implied 37% — an edge of +2.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +1.3pp · closed at 2.59 (38.6%)
Arizona Diamondbacks
Model
40%
Market
37%
Edge
+2.6 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
39.9%
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