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Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins Recap

MLB · June 07, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Minnesota Twins LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Minnesota Twins at 41% against FanDuel's implied 38% — an edge of +3.4pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: -20.1pp  ·  closed at 1.63 (61.4%)

Small Play Dog play
Minnesota Twins
+164 on FanDuel
Model 41%
Market 38%
Edge +3.4 pts

Solid 3.4% edge at FanDuel (2.64).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
41.3%

Model performance on Minnesota Twins picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
24
W - L
8 - 16
Win rate
33%
Avg CLV
+2.9pt
ROI
-27.0%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.