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Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees Recap

MLB · June 06, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

VOID

New York Yankees — VOID.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked New York Yankees at 61% against FanDuel's implied 53% — an edge of +7.8pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play
New York Yankees
-112 on FanDuel
Model 61%
Market 53%
Edge +7.8 pts

Solid 7.8% edge at FanDuel (1.89). Elo agrees (+60 gap).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Elo baseline
61.9%
+ Season record + form
62.8% +0.9pp
Calibration offset
59.9% -2.9pp
Platt rescale
51.9% -8.0pp
Injury report (drag - opponent's drag)
53.5% +1.6pp
Line-movement nudge
53.2% -0.3pp
Moneyline normalization (both sides to 100%)
60.7% +7.5pp

Model performance on New York Yankees picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
33
W - L
8 - 21
Win rate
28%
Avg CLV
+5.9pt
ROI
-36.8%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.