Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays Recap

MLB · June 07, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Toronto Blue Jays WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Toronto Blue Jays at 40% against FanDuel's implied 38% — an edge of +2.2pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +1.3pp · closed at 2.58 (38.8%)

Small Play Dog play

Toronto Blue Jays

Model 40%

Market 38%

Edge +2.2 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

40.1% —

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