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Chicago White Sox @ Philadelphia Phillies Recap

MLB · June 06, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Philadelphia Phillies LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Philadelphia Phillies at 42% against FanDuel's implied 40% — an edge of +2.2pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +1.9pp  ·  closed at 2.50 (40.0%)

Small Play Dog play
Philadelphia Phillies
+152 on FanDuel
Model 42%
Market 40%
Edge +2.2 pts

Solid 2.2% edge at FanDuel (2.52).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
41.9%

Model performance on Philadelphia Phillies picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
14
W - L
3 - 11
Win rate
21%
Avg CLV
+4.2pt
ROI
-47.4%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.