San Francisco Giants @ Chicago Cubs Recap

MLB · June 05, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Chicago Cubs LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Chicago Cubs at 47% against FanDuel's implied 45% — an edge of +2.0pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +0.3pp · closed at 2.14 (46.7%)

Small Play Dog play

Chicago Cubs

Model 47%

Market 45%

Edge +2.0 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

47.1% —

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