New York Mets @ Seattle Mariners Recap

MLB · June 01, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Seattle Mariners LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Seattle Mariners at 46% against FanDuel's implied 37% — an edge of +8.8pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +8.1pp · closed at 2.67 (37.5%)

Top Pick Dog play

Seattle Mariners

Model 46%

Market 37%

Edge +8.8 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

45.6% —

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