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Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

MLB · June 01, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Arizona Diamondbacks WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Arizona Diamondbacks at 61% against FanDuel's implied 55% — an edge of +6.4pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +7.9pp  ·  closed at 1.87 (53.5%)

Small Play
Arizona Diamondbacks
Model 61%
Market 55%
Edge +6.4 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
61.4% —

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