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Detroit Tigers @ Tampa Bay Rays Recap

MLB · June 01, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Tampa Bay Rays LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Tampa Bay Rays at 49% against FanDuel's implied 42% — an edge of +6.7pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +6.3pp  ·  closed at 2.34 (42.7%)

Small Play Dog play
Tampa Bay Rays
+136 on FanDuel
Model 49%
Market 42%
Edge +6.7 pts

Solid 6.7% edge at FanDuel (2.36).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
49.1%

Model performance on Tampa Bay Rays picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
37
W - L
18 - 16
Win rate
53%
Avg CLV
+4.4pt
ROI
+5.7%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.