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Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

MLB · May 31, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Philadelphia Phillies WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Philadelphia Phillies at 60% against FanDuel's implied 52% — an edge of +7.8pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +9.7pp  ·  closed at 2.00 (50.0%)

Small Play
Philadelphia Phillies
-108 on FanDuel
Model 60%
Market 52%
Edge +7.8 pts

Solid 7.9% edge at FanDuel (1.93).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
59.7%

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