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New York Yankees @ Athletics Recap

MLB · May 31, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Athletics WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Athletics at 60% against FanDuel's implied 52% — an edge of +7.9pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +8.9pp  ·  closed at 2.00 (50.0%)

Small Play
Athletics
-108 on FanDuel
Model 60%
Market 52%
Edge +7.9 pts

Solid 7.9% edge at FanDuel (1.93).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
59.7%

Model performance on Athletics picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
33
W - L
18 - 15
Win rate
55%
Avg CLV
+4.7pt
ROI
+1.5%

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