Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox Recap

MLB · May 31, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Chicago White Sox LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Chicago White Sox at 42% against FanDuel's implied 38% — an edge of +3.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +3.2pp · closed at 2.61 (38.3%)

Small Play Dog play

Chicago White Sox

Model 42%

Market 38%

Edge +3.1 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

41.5% —

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