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New York Yankees @ Athletics Recap

MLB · May 30, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Athletics LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Athletics at 62% against FanDuel's implied 60% — an edge of +2.5pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +3.9pp  ·  closed at 1.72 (58.1%)

Small Play
Athletics
-147 on FanDuel
Model 62%
Market 60%
Edge +2.5 pts

Solid 2.5% edge at FanDuel (1.68).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
62.1%

Model performance on Athletics picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
33
W - L
18 - 15
Win rate
55%
Avg CLV
+4.7pt
ROI
+1.5%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.