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Pittsburgh Pirates @ Toronto Blue Jays Recap

MLB · May 24, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Pittsburgh Pirates WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Pittsburgh Pirates at 67% against FanDuel's implied 61% — an edge of +5.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +8.1pp  ·  closed at 1.70 (58.8%)

Small Play
Pittsburgh Pirates
-159 on FanDuel
Model 67%
Market 61%
Edge +5.6 pts

Solid 5.6% edge at FanDuel (1.63). Best is 2.35 at DraftKings.

Model performance on Pittsburgh Pirates picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
15
W - L
6 - 9
Win rate
40%
Avg CLV
+6.5pt
ROI
-52.9%

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