Seattle Mariners @ Kansas City Royals Recap

MLB · May 23, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Kansas City Royals WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Kansas City Royals at 63% against FanDuel's implied 61% — an edge of +2.8pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +3.9pp · closed at 1.68 (59.5%)

Small Play

Kansas City Royals

Model 63%

Market 61%

Edge +2.8 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

63.4% —

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