Pittsburgh Pirates @ Toronto Blue Jays Recap

MLB · May 23, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Toronto Blue Jays WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Toronto Blue Jays at 60% against FanDuel's implied 58% — an edge of +2.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play

Toronto Blue Jays

Model 60%

Market 58%

Edge +2.6 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

60.4% —

Model performance on Toronto Blue Jays picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks

W - L

9 - 14

Win rate

39%

Avg CLV

+3.0pt

ROI

-37.2%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.