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Forecasts / MLB / May 23, 2026

Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs Recap

MLB · May 23, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Chicago Cubs LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Chicago Cubs at 45% against FanDuel's implied 41% — an edge of +4.3pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play
Chicago Cubs
146 on FanDuel
Model 45%
Market 41%
Edge +4.3 pts

Solid 4.3% edge at FanDuel (2.46).

Model performance on Chicago Cubs picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
16
W - L
4 - 12
Win rate
25%
Avg CLV
+1.7pt
ROI
-53.5%

Other MLB games on May 23, 2026

New York Mets @ Miami Marlins · Pittsburgh Pirates @ Toronto Blue Jays
Miami Marlins + Pittsburgh Pirates · model 44% · edge +3.5pt
VOID
New York Mets @ Miami Marlins · Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers
Miami Marlins + Milwaukee Brewers · model 44% · edge +3.1pt
VOID
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers · Pittsburgh Pirates @ Toronto Blue Jays
Milwaukee Brewers + Pittsburgh Pirates · model 43% · edge +4.6pt
VOID
Cleveland Guardians @ Philadelphia Phillies · Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers
Cleveland Guardians + Milwaukee Brewers · model 43% · edge +4.9pt
LOSS
Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies · model 46% · edge +7.2pt
WIN
How the model works → Model health audit → Recent MLB misses → All MLB forecasts →

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