Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees Recap
MLB · May 22, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Tampa Bay Rays WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Tampa Bay Rays at 50% against FanDuel's implied 46% — an edge of +4.2pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Solid 4.2% edge at FanDuel (2.18). Elo agrees (+35 gap). Best is 2.30 at LowVig.ag.
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Model performance on Tampa Bay Rays picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
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