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Forecasts / MLB / May 22, 2026

Seattle Mariners @ Kansas City Royals Recap

MLB · May 22, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Kansas City Royals LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Kansas City Royals at 66% against FanDuel's implied 64% — an edge of +2.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play
Kansas City Royals
-175 on FanDuel
Model 66%
Market 64%
Edge +2.1 pts

Solid 2.1% edge at FanDuel (1.57).

Other MLB games on May 22, 2026

Cleveland Guardians @ Philadelphia Phillies · New York Mets @ Miami Marlins
Cleveland Guardians + Miami Marlins · model 45% · edge +5.9pt
WIN
Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels
Athletics · model 55% · edge +5.5pt
WIN
Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies · model 59% · edge +8.2pt
WIN
Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks · Cleveland Cavaliers @ New York Knicks
Colorado Rockies + Cleveland Cavaliers · model 24% · edge +2.9pt
LOSS
Cleveland Guardians @ Philadelphia Phillies
Cleveland Guardians · model 68% · edge +7.5pt
WIN
How the model works → Model health audit → Recent MLB misses → All MLB forecasts →

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