Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs Recap
MLB · May 22, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Chicago Cubs LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Chicago Cubs at 45% against FanDuel's implied 38% — an edge of +6.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Chicago Cubs
Model
45%
Market
38%
Edge
+6.6 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
44.8%
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