Detroit Tigers @ Baltimore Orioles Recap

MLB · May 22, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Baltimore Orioles WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Baltimore Orioles at 67% against FanDuel's implied 64% — an edge of +2.9pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play

Baltimore Orioles

Model 67%

Market 64%

Edge +2.9 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

66.6% —

Model performance on Baltimore Orioles picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks

W - L

5 - 6

Win rate

45%

Avg CLV

+3.6pt

ROI

-11.0%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.