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New York Mets @ Washington Nationals Recap

MLB · May 21, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Washington Nationals WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Washington Nationals at 70% against FanDuel's implied 66% — an edge of +4.0pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play
Washington Nationals
-196 on FanDuel
Model 70%
Market 66%
Edge +4.0 pts

Solid 4.0% edge at FanDuel (1.51).

Model performance on Washington Nationals picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
21
W - L
16 - 5
Win rate
76%
Avg CLV
+4.4pt
ROI
+50.5%

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