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Forecasts / MLB / May 21, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres Recap

MLB · May 21, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — San Diego Padres LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked San Diego Padres at 74% against FanDuel's implied 57% — an edge of +17.4pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Top Pick
San Diego Padres
-132 on FanDuel
Model 74%
Market 57%
Edge +17.4 pts

Model gives 74.2% vs FanDuel's implied 56.8%. No team-rating data — verify before sizing up.

Model performance on San Diego Padres picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
14
W - L
6 - 8
Win rate
43%
Avg CLV
+6.4pt
ROI
-28.2%

Other MLB games on May 21, 2026

New York Mets @ Washington Nationals · Cleveland Guardians @ Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals + Cleveland Guardians · model 44% · edge +4.4pt
VOID
New York Mets @ Washington Nationals · New York Mets @ Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals + Miami Marlins · model 45% · edge +5.1pt
VOID
Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels · model 65% · edge +4.7pt
WIN
Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres · San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder
San Diego Padres + San Antonio Spurs · model 23% · edge +2.4pt
LOSS
Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres · Cleveland Cavaliers @ New York Knicks
San Diego Padres + Cleveland Cavaliers · model 22% · edge +1.5pt
LOSS
How the model works → Model health audit → Recent MLB misses → All MLB forecasts →

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