Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers Recap
MLB · May 21, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Cleveland Guardians WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Cleveland Guardians at 74% against FanDuel's implied 67% — an edge of +6.9pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Cleveland Guardians
Model
74%
Market
67%
Edge
+6.9 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
74.0%
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Model performance on Cleveland Guardians picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
Picks
32
W - L
7 - 23
Win rate
23%
Avg CLV
+3.8pt
ROI
-60.6%
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