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Forecasts / MLB / May 21, 2026

Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers Recap

MLB · May 21, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Cleveland Guardians WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Cleveland Guardians at 74% against FanDuel's implied 67% — an edge of +6.9pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play
Cleveland Guardians
-204 on FanDuel
Model 74%
Market 67%
Edge +6.9 pts

Solid 6.9% edge at FanDuel (1.49).

Model performance on Cleveland Guardians picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
17
W - L
14 - 3
Win rate
82%
Avg CLV
+5.2pt
ROI
+23.6%

Other MLB games on May 21, 2026

New York Mets @ Washington Nationals · Cleveland Guardians @ Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals + Cleveland Guardians · model 44% · edge +4.4pt
VOID
New York Mets @ Washington Nationals · New York Mets @ Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals + Miami Marlins · model 45% · edge +5.1pt
VOID
Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels · model 65% · edge +4.7pt
WIN
Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres · model 74% · edge +17.4pt
LOSS
Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres · San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder
San Diego Padres + San Antonio Spurs · model 23% · edge +2.4pt
LOSS
How the model works → Model health audit → Recent MLB misses → All MLB forecasts →

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