Boston Red Sox @ Kansas City Royals Recap

MLB · May 20, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Kansas City Royals WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Kansas City Royals at 72% against FanDuel's implied 65% — an edge of +6.8pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play

Kansas City Royals

Model 72%

Market 65%

Edge +6.8 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

72.1% —

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