Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays Recap
MLB · May 20, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Tampa Bay Rays WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Tampa Bay Rays at 77% against FanDuel's implied 67% — an edge of +10.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Tampa Bay Rays
Model
77%
Market
67%
Edge
+10.1 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
76.8%
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Model performance on Tampa Bay Rays picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
Picks
56
W - L
24 - 32
Win rate
43%
Avg CLV
+4.1pt
ROI
-11.3%
Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.