Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals Recap
MLB · May 19, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — St. Louis Cardinals WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked St. Louis Cardinals at 69% against FanDuel's implied 65% — an edge of +3.4pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
St. Louis Cardinals
Model
69%
Market
65%
Edge
+3.4 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
68.8%
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Model performance on St. Louis Cardinals picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
Picks
42
W - L
17 - 25
Win rate
40%
Avg CLV
+4.6pt
ROI
-25.7%
Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.