Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres Recap
MLB · May 18, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — San Diego Padres WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked San Diego Padres at 49% against FanDuel's implied 45% — an edge of +3.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
San Diego Padres
Model
49%
Market
45%
Edge
+3.6 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
48.7%
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Model performance on San Diego Padres picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
Picks
32
W - L
12 - 20
Win rate
38%
Avg CLV
+5.2pt
ROI
-38.3%
Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.