Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers Recap

MLB · May 19, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Detroit Tigers WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Detroit Tigers at 63% against FanDuel's implied 56% — an edge of +7.7pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play

Detroit Tigers

Model 63%

Market 56%

Edge +7.7 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

63.3% —

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