Houston Astros @ Minnesota Twins Recap
MLB · May 18, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Minnesota Twins WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Minnesota Twins at 69% against FanDuel's implied 51% — an edge of +17.7pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Minnesota Twins
Model
69%
Market
51%
Edge
+17.7 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
68.8%
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Model performance on Minnesota Twins picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
Picks
24
W - L
8 - 16
Win rate
33%
Avg CLV
+2.9pt
ROI
-27.0%
Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.