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Houston Astros @ Minnesota Twins Recap

MLB · May 18, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Minnesota Twins WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Minnesota Twins at 69% against FanDuel's implied 51% — an edge of +17.7pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Top Pick
Minnesota Twins
Model 69%
Market 51%
Edge +17.7 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
68.8% —

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