Cincinnati Reds @ Philadelphia Phillies Recap

MLB · May 18, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Philadelphia Phillies WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Philadelphia Phillies at 69% against FanDuel's implied 66% — an edge of +3.3pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play

Philadelphia Phillies

Model 69%

Market 66%

Edge +3.3 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

69.0% —

Model performance on Philadelphia Phillies picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks

W - L

3 - 11

Win rate

21%

Avg CLV

+4.2pt

ROI

-47.4%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.