Boston Red Sox @ Kansas City Royals Recap

MLB · May 18, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Kansas City Royals LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Kansas City Royals at 54% against FanDuel's implied 51% — an edge of +2.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play

Kansas City Royals

Model 54%

Market 51%

Edge +2.6 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

53.6% —

Model performance on Kansas City Royals picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks

W - L

13 - 11

Win rate

54%

Avg CLV

+4.7pt

ROI

+9.1%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.