Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

MLB · May 09, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Atlanta Braves WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Atlanta Braves at 46% against FanDuel's implied 41% — an edge of +5.7pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play Dog play

Atlanta Braves

Model 46%

Market 41%

Edge +5.7 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

46.3% —

Model performance on Atlanta Braves picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks

W - L

26 - 33

Win rate

44%

Avg CLV

+5.0pt

ROI

-27.7%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.