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Forecasts / MLB / May 09, 2026

New York Mets @ Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

MLB · May 09, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Arizona Diamondbacks LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Arizona Diamondbacks at 50% against FanDuel's implied 47% — an edge of +3.0pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play
Arizona Diamondbacks
Model 50%
Market 47%
Edge +3.0 pts

Solid 3.0% edge at FanDuel (2.14). Elo agrees (+38 gap).

Other MLB games on May 09, 2026

Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates · model 53% · edge +2.5pt
LOSS
St. Louis Cardinals @ San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals · model 49% · edge +4.2pt
WIN
Chicago Cubs @ Texas Rangers
Chicago Cubs · model 50% · edge +3.7pt
WIN
Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves · model 41% · edge +3.8pt
LOSS
Colorado Rockies @ Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies · model 62% · edge +4.6pt
LOSS
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