New York Mets @ Arizona Diamondbacks Recap
MLB · May 08, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Arizona Diamondbacks LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Arizona Diamondbacks at 49% against FanDuel's implied 46% — an edge of +2.9pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Arizona Diamondbacks
Model
49%
Market
46%
Edge
+2.9 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
49.2%
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Model performance on Arizona Diamondbacks picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
Picks
30
W - L
16 - 14
Win rate
53%
Avg CLV
+3.8pt
ROI
-5.0%
Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.