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Chicago Cubs @ Texas Rangers Recap

MLB · May 09, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Chicago Cubs LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Chicago Cubs at 49% against FanDuel's implied 45% — an edge of +4.3pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play Dog play
Chicago Cubs
Model 49%
Market 45%
Edge +4.3 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
49.3% —

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