Minnesota Twins @ Washington Nationals Recap

MLB · May 07, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Minnesota Twins LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Minnesota Twins at 57% against FanDuel's implied 53% — an edge of +3.9pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play

Minnesota Twins

Model 57%

Market 53%

Edge +3.9 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

56.8% —

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