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Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs Recap

MLB · May 07, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Cincinnati Reds LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Cincinnati Reds at 40% against FanDuel's implied 37% — an edge of +3.7pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play
Cincinnati Reds
Model 40%
Market 37%
Edge +3.7 pts

Solid 3.7% edge at FanDuel (2.72). Elo agrees (-45 gap).

Model performance on Cincinnati Reds picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
12
W - L
10 - 2
Win rate
83%
Avg CLV
+3.0pt
ROI
+75.2%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.