San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants Recap
MLB · May 05, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — San Diego Padres WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked San Diego Padres at 50% against FanDuel's implied 45% — an edge of +4.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
San Diego Padres
Model
50%
Market
45%
Edge
+4.6 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
50.0%
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